Beginning in the afternoon exit poll results will start rolling in, and if the pattern follows 2004, it will probably project heavy wins for Obama.  Slate initially reported Kerry winning 7 states (names in bold indicate states Kerry actually lost):  Florida, Ohio, Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, Michigan, Minnesota and New Mexico, and Bush winning 3:  Nevada, North Carolina and Colorado.  Zogby reported Kerry winning by a whopping 311 electoral votes to Bush’s 213, with 14 too close to call.  Late in the day Florida was then switched over to Bush’s column by a narrow margin (Bush decisively won the state by 5 points.)  In 2000, exit polls had also favored Al Gore in several key states that he eventually lost.

Morale of the story?  Ignore the exit polls.

I WANT TO BELIEVE

6PM-7PM EST

Polls in Indiana and Kentucky will begin to close at 6PM, while polls in Georgia, South Carolina, Vermont and Virginia close at 7PM.  Kentucky should easily go to McCain, but the results from Indiana should prove interesting.  McCain has either tied or maintained a very slim lead in this state coming into the election, so if the media projects McCain winning by a comfortable margin, it will be a very good sign.  If that’s the case, the media should project a winner for Indiana sometime before 8PM.

Virginia however will also be a HUGE bellwether.  Obama had been leading in this state at times by as much as 9 points going into the last week before the election.  If McCain wins this state as well,  Obama and his supporters can at least kiss their stupid dreams of a landslide victory goodbye.  BUT, if McCain loses not only Virginia, but Indiana as well, we’re finished.  Might as well turn the TV off and start drinking heavily, because the Obamunists are about to take over.  Assuming a similar pattern from 2004, a winner may be projected for Virginia by 9PM.  If McCain gets both these states into his column, this is going to be one crazy night.

7:30PM

Polls in Ohio and West Virginia close.  West Virginia should easily be called for McCain at this point, and presuming a tight race again, a winner for Ohio may not be declared until at least 1AM-2AM.

8PM

Polls should start closing en masse in Alabama, Connecticut, Delaware, District of Columbia, Florida, Illinois, Kansas, Maine, Maryland, Massachusetts, Michigan, Mississippi, Missouri, New Hampshire, New Jersey, Oklahoma, Pennsylvania, Tennessee and Texas.  Sans the swing states, the rest should be easily projected.

It’s possible a winner for Indiana may be declared by this time as well.

8:30PM

Polls in Arkansas and North Carolina close.  North Carolina is another one to watch, where Obama has held a slim lead before.  Should they easily call this one for McCain as well, (in addition to Indiana and Virginia,) it could be a GREAT night for us.  A projection for North Carolina might be made around 9PM depending on the tightness of the race.

9PM

Polls close in Arizona, Colorado, Kansas, Louisiana, Minnesota, Nebraska, New Mexico, New York, Rhode Island, Wisconsin and Wyoming.

At this time we should have projections for Indiana, Virginia and North Carolina, and thus a very good indication as to how well McCain will do for the rest of the night.

Assuming things go McCain’s way here, the talking heads will begin chattering endlessly about the inaccuracy of the polls and how the Bradley Effect screwed everything up.  Meanwhile Obama agents will start screaming at the top of their lungs about what a bigoted country we are and that racism is the ONLY reason why McCain is doing as well as he is.  Bet on it.  These liberal weenies are nothing if not predictable.

10PM

Polls begin closing in Idaho, Iowa, Montana, Nevada, North Dakota, Oregon and Utah.  Results from Wisconsin, Michigan and Minnesota should start rolling in, but nothing concrete yet.

11PM

Polls close in California, Hawaii and Washington.  Reports from Florida and Pennsylvania should start solidifying at this point, and a winner may be projected by midnight.

1AM to ?

Polls close in Alaska.

At this point Ohio may be called just as it was by Fox in 2004, sometime after midnight, and starting from 2AM and onward, reports from key western (and some midwestern) states should finally start solidifying enough that projections can be made for those states as well, including Iowa, New Mexico and Nevada.  Projections for states such as Colorado and Arizona should have been made sooner, unless the race had been exceptionally tight.

Bottom Line:

By 9PM we should know for sure how accurate the polls really were.  A McCain win in Indiana, Virginia and North Carolina will set the tone for the rest of the night, at which point it will truly become a fight to the finish.  Should that happen, start praying, and start praying HARD.  God in His mercy may yet provide us a stay of execution that I so earnestly hoped and prayed would happen.

And if not, pray anyway.  Whether we face judgment or a reprieve, this country is headed for troubling times, and I can only hope that in such times of distress, we will remember the LORD and seek Him once again in a spirit of true humility and repentance.

Tags: Al Gore, barack hussein obama, election, electoral votes, exit poll results, exit polls, george w bush, God, john kerry, john mccain, judgment, lord, media, polls, repentance, reprieve, sin, TV, victory
Categories: Politics and Poker
 
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Sarah Palin is right, the election for the U.S. Presidency IS in God’s hands after all.  Oh, you thought it was in the hands of millions of U.S. voters?  Well, yes it.  And no, it isn’t.

We do have free will, but it ends where God’s sovereignty begins.  If His hand is in this election, His Spirit is able to move the hearts of the people to vote one way or the other.  The Bible credits Him for building up nations and for tearing them down, democracy or not, and ultimately, just as so many nations have been before it, the future of our country is in His hands.

If Obama wins, I believe he will be the instrument by which God begins judgment on this nation for its grievous sins, beginning with the Christian church.  If McCain wins, I believe we will have been granted a miraculous reprieve from judgment, perhaps in part because of the remnant of God’s people who have even now refused to bow down to Baal and have prayed fervently for a stay of execution.  But whether it’s McCain or Obama, God’s will WILL be done.  He will work, and “who shall let it?”  (Isaiah 43:13)

In light of this truth, it makes me wonder: what if, in spite of a half-billion dollar campaign, in spite of massive voter fraud, in spite of polls predicting landslides and demoralizing the opposition, in spite of a dominating mass media machine that has been completely in his tank, in spite of a world population that overwhelmingly supports him, in spite of an economic crisis that has caused people to blame the wrong villains, Obama still loses?

In the face of such insurmountable odds, will we give God the glory for it?  Will even the non-Christians marvel and admit the “finger of God” has been in this?  Or wil lthey rationalize with excuses and claims of racial bias?

Or what if Obama wins, devastating the followers of movements such as Lou Engle’s The Call?  Will they take it as proof that God does not hear their prayers and subsequently fall away to bitterness and apostasy?  Or will they recognize the folly of their ways and repent, recognizing that in order for a nation to be restored, the church itself must be restored first?

These are interesting times we live in indeed.  But whether we face judgment or a stay of execution, I am convinced that those who belong to the Lord will lack for nothing even in the darkest of times.  They will not be forsaken, nor their seed begging bread.  One thousand may fall at their side, but it shall not come near them.  While the world of Egypt is plagued, the people of God will remain safe in Goshen.  This is the heritage of the servants of God, and their righteousness shall always be of Him.

Now, if I can just get a girlfriend… 

Tags: apostasy, bible, campaign, christian, Christians, church, country, economic crisis, election, fraud, God, judgment, lord, lou engle, mass media, media, nation, prayer, prayers, presidency, reprieve, sarah palin, Spirit, vote, voters
Categories: Politics and Poker
 
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Well, I did have a nice six day reprieve from work, but that ends tomorrow (uhh, make that today.) Joy joy, joy joy joy.

Seriously, I don’t think I’ve ever hated my job as much as I do now. An awful boss running us into the ground, an awful coworker whose useless, fat wide load of an ass takes up valuable real estate in our section, a workload that’s spiraling out of control, and colleagues with frayed nerves that makes me wonder if my bullet riddled carcass might soon end up on the news.

I guess it’s no surprise then that I’ve thrown everything into getting this blog off the ground, not only to boost traffic levels, but also to make some serious coins out of it so I can get the holy hell outta here. 7 years I’ve been at this job, with no end in sight. Something’s gotta give.

I really thought I had something going though by deciding to apply for law school, and I can’t believe how it all turned to crap, even in spite of almost two years of praying, seeking, knocking and begging for answers. Instead of being shown the way, I get jerked around by a God who really seems to be doing His darndest best to show me how much He hates my filthy hide.

Fine. Message received. Way to show the world how You take care of your own by screwing them over when they need Your help the most. Sheesh. I don’t know if you’ve noticed or not Lord, but I’m feeling pretty fricking abandoned and betrayed right now.

Ok, calm down Linc…. breathe in… breathe out… serenity now…

To be honest, it really is disconcerting to feel this deep seated rage boil up within me whenever I think about the events of the past few years, from getting evicted out into the streets, to getting stuck in a dead end, soul sucking job, to watching my health deteriorate and my prospects dry up, even while everyone else around me find their true loves, marry up and move on to greener pastures, and here I am, still stuck in first gear, partly because I was stupid enough to believe God had something better prepared for me, and that I need only be patient enough to wait for it. Sure, all fine and good, until I finally realized that only applies to people He actually gives a rip about.

Well ok then, how about this: You hate me, I hate You, so let’s just stay out of each other’s way from now on, and maybe, just maybe, I’ll be able to salvage the remaining pieces of my almost completely destroyed life, mmmmkay?

Tags: abandoned, anger, betrayal, calm, carcass, coins, darndest, forsaken, future, God, hate, job, law school, life, lost, prospects, rage, reprieve, serenity, spite, workload
Categories: Lincoln's Personal Log
 
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